endCOVID-19

Last update: Saturday 3/25/23
This edition of our weekly guide provides an evolving framework for coping with the coronavirus, beginning with the shift to endemic management policies by the U.S. and China from December 2022 through February 2023.

Previous editions include:
-- omiBivCOVID-19 covered the introduction of bivalent boosters from September 2022 to November 2022
-- omiSubCOVID-19 covered Omicron sub-variants from April 2022 through August 2022
-- omicronCOVID-19 covered Omicron from late November 2021 through March 2022
-- deltaCOVID-19 covered Delta vs mandates from July 2021 to November 2021.
-- vacCOVID-19 covered Biden's vaccinations from late December 2020 to June 2021
-- oldCOVID-19 covered February 2020 through early December 2020

Links to memorable articles about what we should have known about pandemic management and when we should have known it can be found on our Hindsight Page

... under continuing reconstruction ...

Top stories  


Ten sections are divided into two groups: Dashboard and Publications. 

Dashboard (sections A, B, and C) contains links to data pages on the Web that include the tables, maps, and charts most frequently cited by the publications in the second part of the guide.

Publications (sections D through I) contains links to reports, news articles, and opinions.  New links are added every day. Recent links are red; older links are blue. Most of the links in the dashboard sections are always red because they point to Web pages that are updated frequently by their editors, sometimes every day.
  • Older items in the publication sections whose content has been overcome by events are deleted. This enables the overall size of the publications sections to remain more or less the same as newer links are added. However enough older articles remain so that readers can always get a quick sense of where we are and how we got here by skimming the titles of the articles in chronological order.

A. Info | B. Mods | C. Trackers | D. World | E. China |  F. United States | G. Context | H. Mandates | I. TreatVax | J. Opinions

... Dashboard ... 

A. Comprehensive information resources 
B. Medical impact models
  • Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluaton (IHME) Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), USA COVID, 12/16/22 ... China COVID, 12/16/22
    Note: For the foreseeable future, IHME is not updating its model
C. Focused Trackers

... Publications ...

D. World policies and contexts outside of the U.S. and China
  • European Union, "European Union tries to coordinate COVID travel policies for China", Raf Casert, PBS, 1/2/23 
  • "Senior WHO official faults China for undercounting Covid deaths", Helen Branswell, STAT, 1/4/23 
  • South Korea, "South Korea shares eye-opening Covid statistics to defend its new rules for travelers from China", Monica Pitrelli and Evelyn Cheng, CNBC, 1/10/23 
  • World, "Is WHO ready to end the global health emergency over Covid? Maybe not just yet", Helen Branswell, STAT, 1/25/23 

  • Japan, "Japan's monthly COVID deaths top 10,000 for 1st time", Kyodo News, 1/28/23
  • World, "A systematic review and meta-analysis of the evidence on learning during the COVID-19 pandemic", Bastian A. Betthäuser, Anders M. Bach-Mortensen & Per Engzell, Nature Human Behavior, 1/30/23 
  • United Kingdom, "How many people have had COVID-19? The challenge of reinfections", Leanne Massie, Office of National Statistics, 2/15/23 
  • Japan, "Japan to ease COVID-19 border measures for travelers from China", Mari Yamaguchi, CTV News, 1/27/23 

E. China policies and context 
  • "China Estimates Covid Surge Is Infecting 37 Million People a Day", Bloomberg, 12/23/22 
  • "Leaked notes from Chinese health officials estimate 250 million Covid-19 infections in December: reports", Hannah Ritchie, Nectar Gan, Simone McCarthy, Selina Wang and Mengchen Zhang, CNN, 12/23/22
  • "China races to vaccinate elderly, but many are reluctant", Joe McDonald, Associated Press, 12/27/22 
  • "Bodies Pile Up in China as Covid Surge Overwhelms Crematoriums", Bloomberg, 1/3/23 

  • "Tests on travelers from China offer rare snapshot of covid chaos", Kelsey Ables, Washington Post, 1/7/23 
  • "China Reports Nearly 60,000 Covid-Linked Deaths Since Lifting Restrictions",  Lily Kuo, NY Times, 1/15/23 
  • "China Celebrated Lunar New Year Like Covid No Longer Exists", Jinshan Hong and Xiao Zibang, Bloomberg, 1/27/23 
  • "How Deadly Was China’s Covid Wave?", James Glanz, Mara Hvistendahl and Agnes ChangF, NY Times, 2/15/23  


F. U.S. policies ==> Who's Who Directory
  • "New Covid Booster Shots Cut Risk of Hospitalization by Half, C.D.C. Reports", Benjamin Mueller, NY Times, 12/16/22 
    ... Note:  The new bivalent boosters targeted BA.4 AND BA.5. These two studies were conducted during the last weeks of dominance by BA.4 and BA.5, i.e. September 13–November 18. 
  • "FDA advisers recommend updating Covid vaccines", Matthew Herper  and Helen Branswell, STAT, 1/26/23  
  • "FDA pulls Evusheld authorization as coronavirus evolution quashes another therapy", Andrew Joseph, STAT, 1/26/23
  •  "Biden to end covid national emergencies in May", Tyler Pager and  Lena H. Sun, Washington Post, 1/30/23 

  • "CDC adds COVID shots to list of routine vaccines for kids and adults", Janelle Chavez, CBS Boston, 2/9/23 
  • "Not enough data to support multiple annual COVID boosters, U.S. CDC advisers say", Aditya Samal, Reuters, 2/24/23 
  • "Lab Leak Most Likely Origin of Covid-19 Pandemic, Energy Department Now Says", Michael R. GordonFollow and Warren P. Strobel, Wall Street Journal, 2/27/23 

G. U.S. context     
  • "For the Uninsured, Covid Care Has Entered a New Stage of Crisis", Noah Weiland and Sarah Kliff, NY Times, 12/6/22 
  • "As Covid Deaths Climb, Even Seniors Skip the Latest Booster", Emily Baumgaertner, NY Times, 12/21/22 
  • "Three years on, the pandemic — and our response — have been jolting. Here’s what even the experts didn’t see coming", Helen Branswell, STAT, 12/27/2
  • "NY, NJ COVID Hospitalizations Near Year-Highs as Wildly Contagious Variant Spreads: CDC", Jennifer Millman, NBC NY, 1/9/23 

  • "What people on Medicare can expect once the Covid-19 public health emergency ends", Rachel Cohrs, STAT, 2/9/23 
  • "Why Mississippi, a Covid Hot Spot, Left Millions in Pandemic Aid Unspent", Sharon LaFraniere, NY Times, 2/13/23 
  • "Assessing the impact of one million COVID-19 deaths in America: economic and life expectancy losses", Sachin Silva, Eric Goosby & Michael J. A. Reid, Nature, 2/23/23 
H. U.S. Mandates 
  • "CA no longer pursuing COVID vaccine mandate for K-12 schools, public health department says", ABC7 News, 2/3/23 
  • "New York State to Drop Requirement That Masks Be Worn in Hospitals", Lola Fadulu, NY Times, 2/10/23
I. Treatments, vaccines, boosters, tests 
  • "Omicron BQ, XBB subvariants are a serious threat to boosters and knock out antibody treatments, study finds", Spencer Kimball, CNBC, 12/14/22
    -- "Alarming antibody evasion properties of rising SARS-CoV-2 BQ and XBB subvariants", Qian Wang et al., Cell, 12/13/22 
  • "Doctors: New Omicron subvariant XBB.1.5 responsible for 75% of new COVID cases in Northeast", Christina Fan, CBS NY, 1/3/23  
  • "Two new studies paint encouraging picture of Covid-19 vaccine’s performance", Helen Branswell, STAT, 1/25/23 
  • "Updated boosters are cutting the risk of getting sick from Covid-19 by about half", Brenda Goodman, CNBC, 1/25/23  

  • "OHSU researchers find immune response to COVID-19 strengthens over time", Erik Robinson, OHSU, 1/26/23 
  • "How quickly does COVID immunity fade? What scientists know", Cassandra Willyard, Nature,  2/2/23 
  • "Why the Odds Are Stacked Against a Promising New Covid Drug", Benjamin Mueller, NY Times, 2/8/23  
  • "Past SARS-CoV-2 infection protection against re-infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis", COVID-19 Forecasting Team, The Lancet, 2/16/23  
    -- "Covid-19 infection offers strong protection against reinfection for about 10 months, study finds", Jen Christensen, CNN, 2/16/23
    -- "Immunity acquired from a Covid infection is as protective as vaccination against severe illness and death, study finds", Akshay Syal, M.D., NBC News, 2/16/23
J. Notable opinions and long reads       
  • "COVID-19 Vaccines Halve Risk for Reinfection and Severe Disease", Carolyn Crist, Medscape, 12/16/22   
  • "The coronavirus testing requirement for Chinese travelers is misguided", Leana S. Wen, Washington Post, 1/10/23 
  • "The State of the Virus", Jonathan Wolfe, NY Times, 1/18/23 
  • "COVID-19 and other pandemics require a coherent response strategy", Michael G Baker, David Durrheim, Li Yang Hsu, and Nick Wilson, The Lancet, 1/13/23
    -- "The costly lesson from COVID: why elimination should be the default global strategy for future pandemics", Michael Baker, David Durrheim, Li Yang HSU, Nick Wilson, The Conversation, 1/18/23

  • "Should COVID vaccines be given yearly? Proposal divides US scientists", Max Kozlov, Nature, 1/27/23 
  • "Facing the New Covid-19 Reality", Wafaa M. El-Sadr, NEJM, 1/28/23 
  • "Biden is right to end the national emergency for covid-19", Leana S. Wen, Washington Post, 1/31/23  
  • "Plans to Require Student COVID-19 Vaccinations Flopped. Here’s Why", Evie Blad, Education Week, 2/14/23 

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