TL;DR 10Nov24 ... Tech pundits' post-election predictions about AI policies under Trump

Last update: Sunday 11/10/24 

Welcome to our 10Nov24 TL;DR summary by Claude + podcast of the past week's top story on our "Useful AI News" page. This podcast is a recording of the Descript app reading Claude's summary in AI imitations of the voices of the blog's editor and his AI staff ... 1) Tech pundits' post-election predictions about AI policies under Trump.

19 June 2017 photo of then President Trump with
CEOs of Apple, Microsoft, and Amazon

Audio podcast ... 13 min 

 

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TL;DR link ➡ HERE

A. Claude's TL;DR summary of top story ...

1. Predicted AI Regulations 

1) Predicted AI and related policies under incoming President Trump

PROMPT:

Here comes the text for three articles. Provide a detailed summary of the first article. Then provide concise summaries of the other two articles.

Only discuss predictions about rtificial intelligence policies and policies related to artificial intelligence, i.e., trade & tariffs, semiconductors, and antitrust. (Sections of the articles that disccussed other tech policy issues have been deleted from the following texts.)

Note where the authors predict that President Trump might revoke President Biden's policies, and where he might keep and/or extend President Biden's policies. 

The summaries should be  written with a touch of irony and wit, and they should be understandable by computer savvy college graduates

• Text Wired
• Text TechCrunch
• Text The Verge

RESPONSE:

WIRED ARTICLE: "What Donald Trump's Win Will Mean for Big Tech" The Wired article predicts Trump will:

AI Policy:

• Repeal Biden's AI Executive Order on "day one"
• Prioritize US leadership in AI development race against China
• Potentially provide federal resources for massive-scale AI projects
• Continue/strengthen restrictions on Chinese AI companies' access to US tech
• Possibly favor Musk's xAI while creating challenges for OpenAI and Google due to their alleged "woke" algorithms

Trade & Semiconductors:

• Implement universal 10% tariff
• Add 60% tariff on Chinese imports
• Push for up to 100% tariff on Mexican goods
• Oppose the CHIPS Act as "bad policy that helps rich companies"
• Prefer using tariffs to force foreign companies to build US plants (Though article notes analysts predict actual tariffs will be lower after negotiations)

Antitrust:

• Likely remove Lina Khan from FTC
• Use antitrust cases as leverage for content moderation
• Continue some existing Big Tech antitrust cases, but possibly seek modest remedies
• Take selective enforcement approach based on companies' relationship with administration

TECHCRUNCH ARTICLE: "What Trump's victory could mean for AI regulation" TechCrunch sees Trump:

AI Regulation:

• Dismantling Biden's AI policy framework completely
• Avoiding new federal AI restrictions
• Focusing narrowly on physical safety risks and bioweapons
• Possibly winding down the US AI Safety Institute
• Acknowledging AI dangers but avoiding major regulation

Trade & International:

• Implementing stricter export controls on China
• Tightening restrictions on AI chips and models
• Imposing new tariffs that could impact AI R&D funding
• Reducing global cooperation on AI governance

State-Level Impact:

• Creating a regulatory vacuum that states will fill
• Allowing continued state-level AI legislation growth
• Not interfering with state AI regulations

THE VERGE ARTICLE: "What a second Trump presidency means for tech" The Verge anticipates Trump will:

AI Policy:

• Repeal Biden's AI executive order
• Remove discrimination safeguards from AI regulation
• Deprioritize transparency requirements
• Allow Musk significant influence over AI policy
• Leave copyright issues around generative AI unclear

Antitrust:

• Base enforcement on personal relationships with companies
• Possibly maintain aggressive stance due to VP Vance's influence
• Continue existing cases but seek modest remedies
• Allow faster merger approvals

Semiconductors & Trade:

• Potentially slow-walk CHIPS Act implementation
• Impose 60-100% tariffs on Chinese goods
• Create significant supply chain disruptions
• Allow Musk's influence to affect China trade policy

Each publication brings its own unique emphasis and predictions, with Wired focusing heavily on Big Tech relationships, TechCrunch emphasizing regulatory implications, and The Verge highlighting the role of personal relationships in policy-making.

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