- Trump says "Yes" ... with an export tax ... "U.S. Government to Take Cut of Nvidia and AMD A.I. Chip Sales to China", Tripp Mickle, NY Times, 8/10/25 -- This story also covered by Reuters, Wired, Bloomberg
- China says "No" ... unacceptable risk to China's national security ..."China Demands Companies to Halt Nvidia Chip Orders Over Security Concerns", Qianer Liu, The Information, 8/12/25 -- This story also covered by Reuters, Bloomberg
The Trump administration is requiring Nvidia and AMD to pay 15% of their AI chip revenues from China back to the U.S. government. This effectively makes the government a financial partner in these sales—an almost unprecedented move for export licenses.
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Commerce only granted chip export licenses after this deal.
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Precedent: Similar “golden share” arrangements, though rarely used.
Critics say tying export approval to money compromises U.S. security interests, incentivizing China to demand more concessions. National security experts argue this helps China advance AI capabilities faster.
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Former Trump and Biden officials called it a “strategic misstep.”
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Concern that H20 chips, even if less advanced, still accelerate China’s AI.
Nvidia’s CEO, Jensen Huang, convinced Trump by arguing that blocking sales would push China to rely entirely on Huawei. Allowing controlled sales keeps U.S. companies competitive and sustains their revenue.
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Nvidia expects $15B in H20 sales to China this year.
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AMD projected ~$800M in China sales of its AI chip.
While Washington allowed sales, Beijing raised suspicions of “backdoor” risks in Nvidia chips. China’s regulators warned local companies against buying the H20, reflecting both security fears and pressure to use domestic chips.
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Nvidia publicly denied backdoors and criticized U.S. legislation mandating chip tracking.
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Shows Nvidia is squeezed by both Washington and Beijing.
China’s Cyberspace Administration ordered local tech giants like ByteDance, Alibaba, and Tencent to suspend Nvidia H20 chip orders. Regulators cited potential “data security risks” and are investigating whether the chips could funnel information to the U.S.
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The directive follows U.S. approval of sales with a 15% U.S. government revenue cut.
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This escalates China’s push for Huawei and other domestic chip alternatives.
Nvidia argued that selling less-powerful chips keeps China reliant on U.S. technology. But Beijing views this as a dangerous dependency and is pushing harder for homegrown semiconductors.
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The CAC is particularly worried about U.S. laws requiring location trackers in chips.
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Local complaints about Nvidia security risks gave regulators more reason to intervene.
- Higher electricity bills for everyone ... "Big Tech’s A.I. Data Centers Are Driving Up Electricity Bills for Everyone", Ivan Penn and Karen Weise, NY Times, 8/14/25
- Lower air quality ... "‘We Are the Last of the Forgotten:’ Inside the Memphis Community Battling Elon Musk’s xAI", Andrew R. Chow, Time, 8/13/25
Amazon, Microsoft, and Google are no longer just consumers of electricity—they now build, own, and operate power plants, selling energy back to utilities. This marks a fundamental shift in the U.S. energy market.
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They operate energy subsidiaries.
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They’ve blurred the line between utility and customer.
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Nvidia-powered AI workloads require exponential electricity growth.
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Microsoft and Amazon admit power supply is a bottleneck for expansion.
The strain on the grid is translating into higher utility bills. Average U.S. household rates have jumped 30% since 2020, and data center-driven growth could raise bills by 8–25% more by 2030.
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Ohio households are already paying ~$15 extra monthly.
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Regulators warn consumers could be stuck with grid-upgrade costs.
4. Regulatory and Utility Conflicts
Utilities and regulators are fighting Big Tech over how much of grid upgrade costs they should pay. Utilities argue residents will unfairly bear the burden if tech firms avoid upfront commitments.
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In Ohio, regulators created a new rate class for data centers.
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Big Tech is lobbying for more lenient pricing models.
Executives fear companies are requesting more power than they will ever use, leaving residents to cover infrastructure built for delayed or canceled projects. Virginia already saw this with data centers years late to come online.
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Ratepayers in Virginia subsidized unused infrastructure for years.
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Analysts warn of overestimation of AI demand or chip efficiency gains.
States are experimenting with new rules to force tech companies into their own utility rate classes, which the firms argue is discriminatory. Consumer advocates say it’s justified because data centers alone are driving demand growth.
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Virginia predicts resident bills could rise $276 annually by 2030.
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Google, Amazon, and Microsoft continue resisting industry-specific rates.
BackToTop
Elon Musk’s xAI data center in Memphis runs on 35 unpermitted gas turbines, releasing nitrogen oxides linked to asthma, COPD, and cancer. Local residents report worsening respiratory conditions.
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Peak NO₂ levels rose 79% after the turbines began operation.
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Memphis already has one of the nation’s highest asthma rates.
Boxtown, a historically Black, low-income neighborhood, has long borne the brunt of industrial pollution. Residents and activists accuse Musk of exploiting the community as a “sacrifice zone.”
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NAACP filed an intent-to-sue over Clean Air Act violations.
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Community protests frame xAI as part of a legacy of extractive industry.
Local officials and the Memphis Chamber of Commerce tout xAI’s billions in investment, property tax revenue, and jobs. Musk pledged to fund schools, water treatment, and Tesla battery projects. Residents remain deeply skeptical.
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$25M/year in projected local tax revenue.
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$80M wastewater plant to reduce aquifer dependence.
Despite community pushback, the EPA and local regulators have allowed xAI to operate turbines under “temporary” exemptions, with weak oversight. At the same time, Trump’s AI Action Plan pushes to loosen environmental protections for data centers nationwide.
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Shelby County Health Dept. approved 15 permanent turbines.
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Federal regulators shut down EPA’s environmental hazards unit.
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